Just
before tearing itself apart about whether gay people should be
allowed to marry, France has gone through another political financial
scandal. This is not an uncommon occurrence. We tend not to care very
much about our politicians cheating on their wife, or even, like one
of our former president, having two families complete with a hidden
daughter. We tend to be less tolerant with embezzlement and tax
fraud, which does not keep them from happening with a troubling
regularity
In
this particular case it was Jerome Cahuzac a socialist minister, in
charge of the budget, who discovered to have a secret account in a
Swiss bank, for tax fraud purpose. Jerome Cahuzac being the political
head of French IRS, it was, let’s say, embarrassing. Of course,
Jerome Cahuzac was "advised"
to resign, both as a minister and a Member of Parlement. After
another round of "advices",
he has finally decided not to run in the coming by-election in what
used to be his constituency.
Politics
being what it is, the affair prompted a round of half-hearted
reforms, with ministers forced to disclose their fortune, then faded
out of the headlines in the wake of the gay marriage controversy.
This, however, only a matter of time before another scandal surfaces.
As I have said, those scandals are relatively common in French
history and Frenchmen somewhat expect their politicians to use their
position to get, if not rich, at least wealthy.
When
the regime is weak, however, or when the country goes trough a
crisis, this can lead to drastic changes in government. I don’t
think this will be the case, directly, for the Cahuzac affair, but
the general climate it breeds certainly will pave the way for it.
There are, indeed, certainly precedents for this in French history.
The
first to come to my mind is, of course, the Affair of the Diamond
Necklace, which prepared the French Revolution. In 1772, Louis XV had
ordered for his mistress, Madame du Barry, a diamond necklace
costing some 2,000,000 livres – a huge amount of money, even for a
king. Louis XV, however, died before the necklace could be completed
and Madame du Barry was
banished from the court, so the jeweler found themselves with a
hugely expansive jewel on their hand and nobody to sell it to, the
new queen having refused to accept a necklace designed for a
courtesan.
In
the meantime, a con-artist, Jeanne de Valois-Saint-Rémy, "Comtesse
de la Motte”, manipulated her lover, Louis René Édouard de Rohan
known as Cardinal de Rohan into believing the queen was in love with
him and arranged a meeting between him and the
said queen a
prostitute passing off as a queen. She then “borrowed” a lot of
money from the Cardinal, and bought her way into the high society.
She
was then contacted by the jewelers who wanted to use her to sell
their necklace. She accepted
and told the Cardinal that Marie Antoinette wanted to buy the
necklace; but, wanted him to act as a secret intermediary... this
worked well, until the Cardinal failed to paid the agreed upon amount
and the jewelers complained to the queen about him. Let’s say Marie
Antoinette was not amused.
Jeanne
de la Motte was condemned to be whipped and branded then sent to life
imprisonment in the Salpêtrière. She escaped, however and fled to
London where she ublished a book entitled Memoires
Justificatifs de La Comtesse de Valois de La Motte,
which attempted to justify her actions while casting blame upon the
queen. the Cardinal de Rohan,
for one, was acquitted.
A
lot of people where convinced the Queen had indeed a hand into the
whole affair and had used La Motte
as an instrument to discredit the Cardinal de Rohan. Rohan’s
acquittal, of course, did not help and the queen’s approval rating
plummeted,
with the consequences we all
know.
Another,
less known, example is the Stavisky affair in 1934. Alexandre
Satvisky was a French con-artist who
had managed to put himself at the head of the municipal pawnshop of
Bayonne. He used his position to sell worthless bonds, with fake
emeralds as a surety. He used his political connections to avoid
trial and continued his scams until December, when, faced with
exposure, he fled. The police finally found him, mortally wounded, in
January in Chamonix. He
apparently had committed suicide, albeit in a bizarre way since the
bullet had traveled an inconvenient three meters before hitting his
head.
He
had an extra-long arm, you see.
The
affair finally went public and grew into a full-blown scandal,
leading to the resignation of premier Camille Chautemps from the
Radical-Socialist Party (which was neither radical nor socialist, by
the way). His successor Édouard Daladier, dismissed the prefect of
the Paris police, more to the right than Atilla the Hun Jean Chiappe.
The result was a violent demonstration which degenerated into a coup
attempt by various far right organizations such as the Action
Française, the Croix-de-Feu and the Mouvement Franciste. Fourteen
people were killed in the night of 6–7 February 1934. The Republic
survived, barely, but but Daladier had to resign and the left faced
with an
immediate threat from the far right united,
which led to the 1936 victory of the Popular Front.
The
Stavisky affair also triggered the founding of a far right terrorist
organization La Cagoule
an a general erosion of democratic values which would pave the way
for the Vichy regime.
Of
course, nobody has tried to storm the parliament in the wake of the
Cahuzac affair. Its effects are more insidious but can be every bit
as deleterious.
France
is indeed facing a two-pronged long-term crisis which is slowly but
surely destroying its social cohesiveness. Like all human societies,
it suffers from the systemic effects of peak energy and peak
complexity.
As
the amount of net energy available to the society shrinks, it becomes
less and less able to both maintain its infrastructure and actually
do things. The result is that our infrastructures, both material and
immaterial, decay, as does
our ability to effect positive change. Besides,
our usual ways of dealing with problems, that is increasing the
complexity of the society, is becoming more and more
counterproductive.
As
always, in such a situation, the top tiers of the society, preserve
their position by grabbing
resources from those located
lower in the hierarchy. In democracies,
this mostly done in indirect ways, by dismantling institutions which
benefit mostly the lower and middle strata of society: welfare,
public education and services, collective transportation, subsidized
medicine...
Moreover,
we are slowly losing our privileged position as a first circle ally
of the current world hegemon. Not only are the United States losing
ground to China, but the center of world economic activities is
drifting away from the
Atlantic, making us more and more peripheral in world affairs. That
means that our ability to profit from the imperial system set up by
the USA (and from the remnants of our own Empire) is slowly
dwindling.
In
such a situation, elections become more and more about gay marriage
and the legalization of marijuana and less and less about wages and
taxes. Mainstream politics sound then more and more like empty noises
to the working class and to a
significant part of the middle class.
This
creates a disconnect between the population and the political class
which grows more and more parasitical as the resources of the society
diminish. This disconnect is bound to increase as various elites are
forced into resource grabbing by the shrinking economy and
competition between the various strata of the society sharpens.
In
normal times, scandals, even though they can end the career of the
politicians involved in them, do not undermine the legitimacy of the
regime. Neither the Panama
Scandals nor the Oil
Sniffers Hoax or the Urba
Affair threatened the survival of the Republic because, outside
far right circles, they were seen as bugs, not as features. Globally,
the system worked, and even if you disagreed with the party in power,
you could hope for things to get done your way once your pet team in
the government.
The
problem is that it does not longer work that way. Our economies
cannot function without a solid growth, which is more and more
becoming a thing of the past. As the governments lack the means to do
anything but further the status quo, the policies of the left
become indistinguishable from those of the right and their ideology
focus away on societal issues to preserve the fake dichotomy so
central in our political system.
Of
course, people are not fooled and see more and more their political
class not as the promoters of such or such policies but as
professionals fighting to advance their career. It becomes, by the
way, more and more true, as the younger generation of politicians
internalize the constraints of the system and focus on secondary,
bobo, issues such as feminism or voting right for foreigners.
In
such a situation, careerism, greed, and ultimately corruption become
features of a political system more and more cut off from the
day-to-day realities. Outright fraud remains rare, but privileges
abound. I certainly enjoy some of them despite my low status and my
position as an outsider, even though the main one – I can’t be
fired – come not from my being a politician but from being a civil
servant.
The
occasional scandal will then be considered by a large part of the
population as the proof that the whole political class is corrupt and
that only extremists are sincere. In 1780, that ultimately meant the
Jacobins. In 1934, that meant the Communists or the various far right
sects which would later founded the Vichy regime. Now, it meant
caesarist parties such as the French National Front or Populist /
leftist ones such as Mélenchon’s Parti de Gauche.
That
makes corruption far more dangerous than in more prosperous times as
it increase the already strong preference of our declining societies
for authoritarianism. Fueled by an ever growing thirst for an
effective political action, but similarly lacking in means, this
authoritarianism won’t be less corrupt than its democratic rivals.
In fact, it may be more, despite a few show-trials, because of a
greater control of judicial institutions by the government –
corruption-ridden China is a case in point. It will also be less
efficient at mobilizing remaining resources since its legitimacy will
be based not on its origin but on its supposed ability to solve the
problems faced by the society, something it will be very unlikely to
be be able to do.
What
authoritarianism will do, however, is destroy what will be left of
the democratic tradition and replace it with a mythology of
charismatic leadership which will pave the way for warlords later in
the game. This can be disastrous. Democracy as an idea is probably
going to survive or at least to be revived at some point, unless we
lose writing, which is quite unlikely. Democratic tradition at the
local level, however, with the network of associations and local
institutions it depends, would be shattered by a period of brutal
authoritarianism.
This
is why it is vital for the future to eliminate corruption as much as
possible, and to reduce, as much as possible again, the privileges of
the political class. It’s not because they are bad - they are, but
it is inevitable that the political class grabs some privilege and
that some of its members go over to the dark side : that’s what
human do. It’s because they reinforce a trend already strong in all
declining societies which leads to runaway resource grabbing by
self-appointed elites which would make the present political class
almost competent and responsible in comparison.
We
need to go robespierrian on corruption, lest a new Robespierre shows
up.
No comments:
Post a Comment